Local St. Pete-Clearwater & Tampa Bay, FL news

Tag: National Hurricane Center

  • The National Hurricane Center says a disturbance moving across the subtropical Atlantic could organize into a tropical depression later this week, giving storm-weary Floridians another system to watch as hurricane season grinds on. The trough of low pressure, located east-southeast of Bermuda, is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, according to the NHC. Forecasters say…

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  • Tropical Storm Dolly formed Thursday morning in the central tropical Atlantic, becoming the season’s latest named storm, according to National Weather Service data. As of the storm’s formation, Dolly carried maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and was tracking west at a brisk 24 mph. Forecasters say Dolly will be short-lived and is not expected…

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  • The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing its daily tropical weather outlooks for the 2026 season, though forecasters say no tropical development is expected over the next seven days. The outlooks, issued four times daily, kick off each year in mid-May to coincide with the start of the eastern Pacific hurricane season — a few…

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  • A University of South Florida professor is advocating for a new hurricane classification system that would measure storm surge and rainfall alongside wind speed, addressing what researchers say are critical gaps in how hurricane threats are communicated to the public. Jennifer Collins, a hurricane researcher and professor in USF’s School of Geosciences, co-authored a study…

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  • The tropics remain calm as the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season enters its final weeks, with no tropical cyclone activity expected over the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center recently identified an area in the western Caribbean with a low probability of tropical cyclone formation over the next two…

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  • Tropical Storm Melissa is located approximately 305 miles south-southwest of Port-Au-Prince, Haiti, and moving west-northwest at 7 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph, with some strengthening possible over the next few days. The storm could become a hurricane on Thursday. The NHC expects a decrease in forward…

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  • Tropical Storm Lorenzo continues to weaken in the central Atlantic and currently poses no threat to the U.S. mainland, according to forecasters. Meteorologists say no new tropical systems are expected to form across the Atlantic basin within the next seven days. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the tropics, but conditions remain unfavorable for…

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  • Tropical Storm Jerry formed over the central Atlantic Ocean on Tuesday and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm was located about 1,315 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands and is the 10th named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Jerry is predicted…

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  • A tropical wave designated Invest 95L is being tracked off the coast of Africa and could develop into a tropical depression by mid-week, according to meteorologists. The system has a 50% chance of developing over the next two days and a 70% chance over the next week. As of Monday morning, it was located a…

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  • Hurricane Gabrielle is rapidly moving eastward across the central Atlantic Ocean, while Tropical Storm Humberto has formed northeast of the Leeward Islands, according to the latest tropical weather update. Gabrielle is expected to bring severe weather conditions to the Azores, Spain, and Portugal later this week into the weekend, with forecasters predicting heavy rainfall and…

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  • Hurricane Gabrielle rapidly intensified in warm water in the central Atlantic far from land Monday morning, becoming the second major hurricane of the 2025 season with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph. Gabrielle strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane on Sunday, becoming the second hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season before rapidly intensifying to…

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  • The National Hurricane Center confirmed Wednesday that Tropical Storm Gabrielle has formed in the Central Atlantic, becoming the seventh named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Located about 990 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest at about 22 mph with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. According…

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  • Tropical Depression Seven formed in the central Atlantic early Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. As of 5 a.m., the system was located near 13.7°N latitude and 45.0°W longitude. Maximum sustained winds were reported at 35 miles per hour, with the depression moving west at 13 miles per hour. Forecasters expect the system to…

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  • After a quieter-than-usual stretch this month, the Atlantic Basin is beginning to show signs of renewed tropical activity, with two systems now being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The first, a broad disturbance in the central Atlantic, has been designated Invest 92L. Currently spinning over open water, the system poses no immediate threat…

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  • The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely watching a tropical wave currently over western Africa that is expected to move off the coast in the coming days. What We Know So Far What Could Happen If the wave organizes sufficiently — with thunderstorms consolidating, winds increasing, and circulation forming — it could develop into a…

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  • For decades, the Saffir-Simpson scale has ranked hurricanes only by wind speed, ranging from Category 1 to 5. But experts say that the system overlooks the deadliest threats: storm surge and flooding. University of South Florida geosciences professor Jennifer Collins, working with researchers from a university in the Netherlands, has helped design a new system…

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  • A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, identified as Invest 91L, is expected to organize later this week or over the weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. The disturbance currently has a 50% chance of development within 48 hours and an 80% chance over the next seven days. It is producing showers and thunderstorms…

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  • A tropical wave south of the Cabo Verde Islands could strengthen into a tropical depression by the middle of this week, according to the National Hurricane Center. The disturbance is producing showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Atlantic, where conditions appear favorable for gradual development. Forecasters say the system will track west to west-northwest…

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  • Hurricane Erin is losing strength as it races northeast into the open Atlantic, but forecasters are monitoring three other tropical systems that could develop in the coming days. Hurricane ErinErin remains a large Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds near 90 mph. As of Friday morning, the storm was positioned several hundred miles east of…

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  • Tropical Storm Erin is moving westward across the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane within the next couple of days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Forecasters say the storm could pass close enough to affect the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico this weekend, though the potential…

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  • Tropical Storm Erin is expected to intensify into a hurricane within the next few days, the National Hurricane Center reported Tuesday. As of 11 a.m., Erin was about 820 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving west at 23 mph. Forecasters expect the storm’s rapid westward track to continue for several days before slowing…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is tracking two weather systems in the Atlantic that could develop into tropical or subtropical depressions in the coming days. One system—a non-tropical area of low pressure—is expected to form within a day or so, a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. As it moves northeast over the…

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  • Tropical Storm Dexter continues to strengthen as it moves east-northeastward in the Atlantic, while forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are also monitoring two other disturbances that could develop in the coming days. Tropical Storm DexterAs of 5 a.m., Dexter was located about 405 miles south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The storm is moving east-northeast…

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  • A disturbance in the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms as it drifts west-northwest, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters say the area of low pressure could move inland over southeastern Texas or western Louisiana by this weekend, which would end any potential for tropical development. While the system may…

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  • The tropics are quiet this week, offering a temporary lull in activity during the 2025 hurricane season. This pause follows the first signs of life in the main development region—an area of warm Atlantic waters stretching from the African coast to the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, known for generating tropical systems. That disturbance is…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a small area of low pressure about 900 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles, which has shown increased signs of development. Forecasters say the system is moving west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph, with environmental conditions expected to support some additional development over the next day or so. However,…

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  • A low-pressure system known as Invest-93L, currently off Florida’s east coast, is becoming more organized, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters say the disturbance is expected to move westward across the Florida peninsula today and reach the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by midweek. While showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized for now, environmental conditions are…

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  • A low-pressure system is forecast to develop by Saturday along a weakening frontal boundary near Florida or the southeastern U.S. Atlantic coast, according to the National Hurricane Center. The system could gradually strengthen into a tropical depression or subtropical depression over the weekend or early next week as it tracks north or northeast. While environmental…

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  • A low-pressure system may develop near Florida by the Fourth of July weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters at the NHC say a stalled and weakening frontal boundary off the southeastern U.S. coast could give rise to an area of low pressure by the weekend. The system could form over Atlantic waters off…

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  • Tropical Storm Andrea has officially formed in the Atlantic, marking the first named storm of the 2025 hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center reports that Andrea is expected to weaken and dissipate by Wednesday as it remains over open water. The system poses no threat to land, and no coastal watches or warnings have been…

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  • A low-pressure system in the central Atlantic could briefly develop into a tropical depression Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters say the system, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda, is producing disorganized thunderstorms displaced to its east. While conditions remain only marginally favorable, a boost in thunderstorm activity could trigger short-term development.…

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  • The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has announced several updates to its forecasting tools as the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season approaches. Among the key changes: a refined “cone of uncertainty” and enhanced communication of inland wind threats. Following positive feedback from the 2024 season, the cone of uncertainty graphic will now include inland watches and warnings.…

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  • Starting in the 2025 hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be able to issue alerts for potential tropical cyclones (PTCs) earlier than ever before. The NHC is expanding its criteria for issuing PTC products. For systems likely to impact land, forecasters can now give up to 72 hours of advance notice, an increase…

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  • Nearly six months after Hurricane Milton tore through the Tampa Bay area, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has officially classified it as one of the most intense Atlantic hurricanes on record. According to the NHC’s final storm report released Monday, Milton’s central pressure dropped as low as 895 mb, while its winds peaked at 178…

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  • With just over a week remaining in the 2024 hurricane season, the tropical activity seems to have settled. The National Hurricane Center reports that no new tropical developments are expected in the next seven days. This season has seen 18 named storms, 11 of which intensified into hurricanes. Among these, five reached major hurricane status…

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  • Tropical Depression 19 formed in the Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and is likely to strengthen into Tropical Storm Sara within the next 24 to 48 hours, according to forecasters. The system is currently about 250 miles east of Isla Guanaja, Honduras, moving west at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, the Weather…

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  • A tropical disturbance, Invest 99L, is on the verge of becoming Tropical Storm or Hurricane Sara and could impact Florida’s West Coast next week, according to forecasters. Tropical Storm Sara “could form at any time” in the Caribbean Sea, shared ABC Action News Chief Meteorologist Denis Phillips in a Wednesday morning update. Florida, already battered…

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  • Forecasters report that an area in the central Caribbean Sea is likely to develop into Tropical Storm Sara, coinciding with an expected cold front arriving in Florida mid-week. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) stated that the tropical wave, currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, has an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression or…

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  • As the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season enters its final weeks, forecasters are monitoring a new area of low pressure in the western Caribbean Sea that could strengthen into a tropical depression or storm later this week. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the environmental conditions in the region appear conducive for gradual development of…

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  • Despite approaching the final weeks of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, two weather systems continue to draw forecasters’ attention: a diminishing Tropical Storm Rafael over the Gulf of Mexico and Invest 98L near the Bahamas. Rafael, which first impacted Cuba last week, has been lingering in the Gulf but poses no significant threat to the…

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  • As Hurricane Rafael moves westward into the Gulf of Mexico after sweeping across Cuba as a Category 3 storm, Florida’s Gulf Coast is expected to experience coastal flooding, rip currents, and minor impacts, forecasters report. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) notes that Rafael caused widespread power outages, downed trees, and infrastructure damage in Cuba before…

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  • Hurricane Rafael has intensified into a Category 3 hurricane as it approaches Cuba, expected to track into the Gulf of Mexico. As of this afternoon, Rafael was positioned at 22.0N, 82.3W, with sustained winds reaching 115 mph and a northwest movement at 14 mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Rafael will bring intense…

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  • A low-pressure area in the southwestern Caribbean Sea could strengthen into a tropical depression or storm later this week, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Forecasters say there’s a 40 percent chance that the system will develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days, though no immediate development is expected…

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  • Invest 95L has an increased likelihood of tropical development, but it poses no threat to Florida. The National Hurricane Center reports that this disturbance in the western Caribbean has a 50% chance of developing over the next two days and seven days. Regardless of development, Invest 95L is forecasted to move west, bringing heavy rain…

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