A low-pressure area in the southwestern Caribbean Sea could strengthen into a tropical depression or storm later this week, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Forecasters say there’s a 40 percent chance that the system will develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days, though no immediate development is expected within 48 hours.

This news comes as Floridians remain on edge after Hurricanes Helene and Milton struck recently. If the system develops, it will be the next named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which ends on November 30. The potential name would be “Patty.”

According to the NHC, conditions are expected to become conducive for gradual development by late this week as the system drifts north or northeast across the Caribbean.

“Very warm water and low wind shear in the central Caribbean will support development later this week and early next,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert.

The potential track and strength remain uncertain. “Models are varied, with some placing it east of Florida and others suggesting a path into the Gulf,” said Denis Phillips, ABC Action News’ chief meteorologist. “Historically, November storms often move east, but not always.”

Fox 13’s meteorologist Paul Dellegatto noted on Facebook that gradual formation is likely, with a track potentially east of Florida.

The development could be aided by a Central American gyre, which can promote storm formation, especially during the season’s start and end. “If low wind shear continues, I believe a tropical depression or storm will likely form,” added AccuWeather meteorologist Bernie Rayno.

Regardless of its development into a tropical storm, heavy rain, flash floods, and mudslides are expected across parts of the Caribbean this week.

(Image credit: National Hurricane Center)